Thursday, June 01, 2006

More Polling

Oh polls, how we all love and hate and hate to love and love to hate you.

Tories - 38
Liberals - 29
NDP - 21
Bloc - 8

That's within striking distance, though still uncomfortably behind for the Liberals. Breaking 20 for the NDP is probably the bigger threat to the Liberals, since they take away left-leaning votes in English Canada. Given that the Tories are poised to make inroads in Quebec - which is where most of their recently increased support is coming from, not Ontario - we need to hold our base and recover in English Canada to keep them on the ropes, and the NDP being that high is not good.

But the Bloc at 8% is certainly a happy development.

3 Comments:

At 6/01/2006 8:49 PM, Blogger Miles Lunn said...

With the Liberals being leaderless, I think this poll is in many ways good news. Usually leaderless parties don't do as well as a party with a leader. I don't believe in just pulling votes from the NDP, but rather from both the NDP and Tories.

 
At 6/02/2006 6:04 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

If the Liberals elects a leader like Gerard Kennedy or Bob Rae, you can be certain that they will take back some of those NDP votes. Also, as soon as there is *any* leader in place, the attack machine will start firing away at the Conservatives, reducing their support.

 
At 6/03/2006 5:15 PM, Blogger GayandRight said...

I would say the absence of a leader would help the Liberals in polls.

Care to guess what Liberal support will be when one of the B-team takes over?

Stephane Dion is the best they've got. Pity he has no chance.

 

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