The Front-Runners

With Carolyn Bennett now endorsing Bob Rae, it would seem to me that the conventional wisdom amongst the media that Michael Ignatieff and Rae are the two front-runners is finally starting to seem a bit more credible. Rae has now had two endorsements from leadership drop-outs (Bennett and Maurizio Bevilacqua) and even if they don't bring a lot of followers his way, that still creates the perception of momentum, which as any strategist will tell you, is extremely important. People are more likely to jump on a band-wagon if others are doing the same.

I estimate that Ignatieff and Rae will be in the first and second slots respectively when it comes to delegate selection, followed by Dion, then Kennedy, Brison, and Dryden in that order. I predict that the numbers will reflect that Dion is the only other candidate who could possibly squeeze up the middle. I can't wait to find out whether or not I'm right.