Sunday, June 25, 2006

Poll Update

A shocking new development in my leadership poll has Bob Rae taking it on the final ballot. It seems that a small surge in Kennedy support, while not allowing Kennedy himself to take it, has provided a lot of second-choice ballots for Rae, enough for him to shoot into first place over Dion. The ballot by ballot results are as follows:

First Ballot:
Stephane Dion - 21.9%
Scott Brison - 21.3%
Bob Rae - 19.4%
Michael Ignatieff - 15.6%
Gerard Kennedy - 14.3%
Ken Dryden - 7.6%

Second Ballot:
Stephane Dion - 25.7%
Scott Brison - 23.2%
Bob Rae - 19.4%
Gerard Kennedy - 16.2%
Michael Ignatieff - 15.6%

Third Ballot:
Scott Brison - 30.3%
Stephane Dion - 29.3%
Bob Rae - 23.9%
Gerard Kennedy - 16.6%

Fourth Ballot:
Bob Rae - 34.2%
Stephane Dion - 33.9%
Scott Brison - 31.9%

Fifth Ballot:
Bob Rae - 51.9%
Stephane Dion - 48.1%

6 Comments:

At 6/25/2006 4:34 p.m., Anonymous Anonymous said...

Conservatives love Bob Rae.Scott Brison.Dion...Harper....aanybody Harper can easily beat....your poll is for the birds.

 
At 6/25/2006 5:37 p.m., Blogger Clear Grit said...

Of course it's not completely accurate. Personally, I suspect the final ballot will come down to Iggy and Dion, but we'll see if that prediction is for the birds, too.

 
At 6/25/2006 6:51 p.m., Blogger Sinestra said...

If your poll is only giving Dryden 7% something is clearly amiss.

 
At 6/25/2006 8:35 p.m., Blogger WarBicycle said...

I think your poll is out-to-lunch; Bob Rae hasn’t a chance of ever being elected leader of the Liberal Party. However, should he win, the Conservatives will be guaranteed at least two full terms in power.

 
At 6/26/2006 12:59 p.m., Anonymous JDot said...

Please pick Bob Rae please. We conservtaives would love to see Harper run againts Rae.

Rae Days for all.

 
At 6/27/2006 9:52 p.m., Blogger Miles Lunn said...

Didn't a similiar poll earlier show Joe Volpe winning on a final ballot. While I know some Liberals genuinely support Rae, I suspect a lot of Conservatives are voting for him since that is who they want as their opponent.

 

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