Poll Update
A shocking new development in my leadership poll has Bob Rae taking it on the final ballot. It seems that a small surge in Kennedy support, while not allowing Kennedy himself to take it, has provided a lot of second-choice ballots for Rae, enough for him to shoot into first place over Dion. The ballot by ballot results are as follows:
First Ballot:
Stephane Dion - 21.9%
Scott Brison - 21.3%
Bob Rae - 19.4%
Michael Ignatieff - 15.6%
Gerard Kennedy - 14.3%
Ken Dryden - 7.6%
Second Ballot:
Stephane Dion - 25.7%
Scott Brison - 23.2%
Bob Rae - 19.4%
Gerard Kennedy - 16.2%
Michael Ignatieff - 15.6%
Third Ballot:
Scott Brison - 30.3%
Stephane Dion - 29.3%
Bob Rae - 23.9%
Gerard Kennedy - 16.6%
Fourth Ballot:
Bob Rae - 34.2%
Stephane Dion - 33.9%
Scott Brison - 31.9%
Fifth Ballot:
Bob Rae - 51.9%
Stephane Dion - 48.1%
6 Comments:
Conservatives love Bob Rae.Scott Brison.Dion...Harper....aanybody Harper can easily beat....your poll is for the birds.
Of course it's not completely accurate. Personally, I suspect the final ballot will come down to Iggy and Dion, but we'll see if that prediction is for the birds, too.
If your poll is only giving Dryden 7% something is clearly amiss.
I think your poll is out-to-lunch; Bob Rae hasn’t a chance of ever being elected leader of the Liberal Party. However, should he win, the Conservatives will be guaranteed at least two full terms in power.
Please pick Bob Rae please. We conservtaives would love to see Harper run againts Rae.
Rae Days for all.
Didn't a similiar poll earlier show Joe Volpe winning on a final ballot. While I know some Liberals genuinely support Rae, I suspect a lot of Conservatives are voting for him since that is who they want as their opponent.
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