Will Rae Take It?
What once seemed incredibly unlikely is now seeming increasingly likely. Not only is Rae the only candidate who rivals Ignatieff in popular support, he is also the only one picking up endorsements from drop-out candidates; Maurizio Bevilacqua, Carolyn Bennett, and now Hedy Fry. Also, if the numbers are correct, and Rae can expect the support of 25% of delegates on the first ballot, and then 27% consider him their second choice (as opposed to 17% for Ignatieff,) we could be looking at a Rae victory on the fourth or even third ballot.
I will say that I would prefer Rae over Ignatieff, but I'm still voting for Dion.
Either way, Super Weekend is fast approaching (only 5 days to go!) and after that we'll have a much clearer view of the battlefield, with hard numbers instead of polls and guesses (though there will inevitably and unavoidably still be a healthy amount of the latter.)